Predictive and Scenario Analysis
Our team can create customized models geared to the needs of your organization. Our portfolio of global macroeconomic and microeconomic models enables us to forecast investment trends, consumer demand, industrial patterns, trade flows, and other economic and business conditions around the world. We provide forecasts on a global, national, and city basis.
For example, by correlating external economic drivers to a company’s performance, our economists can build models that forecast sales and earnings trends for that business.
In addition to our bespoke models, we employ the highly respected National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM) on projects that require sophisticated global macro forecasting, stress testing, or scenario analysis. NiGEM, the world’s most advanced globally integrated model, is used by a range of international organizations, from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England to the OECD and the IMF.
We have used the NiGEM model to forecast economic trends in 100 cities, predict rises in household income and wealth in 26 countries, and to assess how growing nationalization, a China hard landing, and a decline in trade from rising protectionism would affect the global economy.