RESEARCH METHODS

Predictive and Scenario Analysis

Our economists draw on survey, market data, and models to forecast business trends and scenario impacts.

We rely on scenario models to assess how investment trends, consumer shifts, industrial changes, trade flows, and other developments affect the world marketplace. We use NiGEM, an advanced global economic model used by the IMF, European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the OECD, to forecast macro trends and impacts.

Our economists use the NiGEM model to create economic forecasts, scenarios and simulations. The trade-linked global quarterly economic model covers 60 countries and regions, with access to over 5000 macro variables and data spanning 1997-2044. For access to NiGEM, click here.

Our Experts on Predictive and Scenario Analysis